Davidson math professor, PUP author and bracketology expert, Tim Chartier, discusses the math behind March Madness with the LA Times.
His telephone rings, he’s on the radio, he’s talking to ESPN, and for once he can explain what exactly he does for a living at North Carolina’s Davidson College.
“For the first time in my life I can talk about what I’m doing, on a higher level, and people understand,” Chartier said.
What Chartier does is use complex math to win the Final Four pool on a regular basis. How regular a basis? He’s been in the top 3% of the 4 million submissions to ESPN’s March Madness tournament challenge, which is arguably the major league of sports prognostication.
“That’s when we said, whoa, this thing really works,” Chartier said of his brush with sports handicapping superstardom.
Blame it on tiny Butler College. Chartier’s math class was among those to recognize that fifth-seeded Butler was destined for the finals in 2010. That was the second year Chartier started making bracketology — the art and science of picking winners among 68 teams in a single-elimination tournament — part of his syllabus. That’s right: take Chartier’s course and you’ll be deep into basketball come March.
Source: Los Angeles Times, “March Madness puts Davidson math professor in a bracket of his own” http://touch.latimes.com/#section/-1/article/p2p-74922641/
Skipping to the good stuff — who is going to win March Madness this year? At least according to the math?
So, who did Chartier pick? With a simplified Massey method (which gives his students a fighting chance), he agrees with Dick Vitale: Louisville wins it all, in this case beating Florida, then Indiana, which beats Gonzaga.
By the Colley method, the Final Four are Duke, Kansas, New Mexico and Miami, with New Mexico winning.
Which system will do the best?
“That’s the madness for us in the math!” Chartier said.
Read the complete article here: http://touch.latimes.com/#section/-1/article/p2p-74922641/